Demand Forecast
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SKU · ZCA963081
Rouge à Lèvres MAYBELLINE Superstay Matte Ink - 50 Voyager
longtail
1P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▲ 400.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
11
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 83
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
ZCA963081
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 42 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rouge à Lèvres MAYBELLINE Superstay Matte Ink - 50 Voyager · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending up +400.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (546 days of history, 42 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 41.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.5K |