Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ZCA842000
L’Oréal Paris - Soin transformateur disciplinant Elseve Jojoba — 100 ml — Cheveux très secs
midtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
20
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
223
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
146
≈ 29.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 103
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
ZCA842000
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 285 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
L’Oréal Paris - Soin transformateur disciplinant Elseve Jojoba — 100 ml — Cheveux très secs · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, stable demand · on-hand 146 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1253 days of history, 519 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 20 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 10.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 74.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 29.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 17.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 83.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 285.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 29.3K |