Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · XIA6972596103387
MONTRE XIAOMI AMAZFIT GTR 2 SPORT EDITION NOIR
longtail
3P
MONTRE INTELLIGENTE - MONTRE CONNECTEE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 744
avg of last 28 sells · latest 2025-11-27
XIA6972596103387
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 122 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
MONTRE XIAOMI AMAZFIT GTR 2 SPORT EDITION NOIR · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (168 days of history, 14 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.49 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 3.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 14.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 12.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 65.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 121.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 90.4K |