Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · XIA6941948704916
TV box S - XIAOMI - 3rd gen - 4K Ultra HD - Google TV - Bluetooth 5.2 - Dolby Vision - Dolby Atmos
midtail
1P + 3P
LECTEUR - ENREGISTREUR VIDEO
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
39
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
18
≈ 4.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 669
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
XIA6941948704916
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 126 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TV box S - XIAOMI - 3rd gen - 4K Ultra HD - Google TV - Bluetooth 5.2 - Dolby Vision - Dolby Atmos · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (371 days of history, 209 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 44 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 18.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 61.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 126.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 84.5K |