Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · XIA6934177738067
Xiaomi Mi 33W, Intérieure, Secteur, 20 V, Blanc
longtail
1P
CONNECTIQUE - ALIMENTATION
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
4
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
4
≈ 19.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 156
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2026-07-30
XIA6934177738067
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 45 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Xiaomi Mi 33W, Intérieure, Secteur, 20 V, Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (882 days of history, 9 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.38 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 22.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 10.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 44.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.0K |