Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · XIA6934177716874
Xiaomi Redmi – Batterie Portable 20 000 mAh – Charge Rapide – Noir
hero
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
174
▲ 26.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
26
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 142
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-03
XIA6934177716874
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 658 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Xiaomi Redmi – Batterie Portable 20 000 mAh – Charge Rapide – Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 174 units, trending up +26.1% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (637 days of history, 1,259 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.08 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 174 units · prev 4w = 138 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 55.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 140.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 353.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 68.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 210.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 657.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 18.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 93.2K |