Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · XIA6934177716874
Xiaomi Redmi – Batterie Portable 20 000 mAh – Charge Rapide – Noir
hero
1P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
33
▼ 57.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
248
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
248
≈ 17.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 173
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
XIA6934177716874
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 855 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Xiaomi Redmi – Batterie Portable 20 000 mAh – Charge Rapide – Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 33 units, trending down -57.7% · on-hand 248 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (693 days of history, 1,396 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 33 units · prev 4w = 78 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 257.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 35.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 34.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 143.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 855.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 16.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 148.4K |