Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · XIA6934177716874
Xiaomi Redmi – Batterie Portable 20 000 mAh – Charge Rapide – Noir
hero
1P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
83
▼ 41.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
169
≈ 14.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 143
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
XIA6934177716874
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 664 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Xiaomi Redmi – Batterie Portable 20 000 mAh – Charge Rapide – Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 83 units, trending down -41.5% · on-hand 169 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (581 days of history, 961 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.19 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 83 units · prev 4w = 142 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 40.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 119.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 276.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 62.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 247.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 664.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 21.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 94.7K |