Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · XIA1732612209874
XIAOMI - Écouteurs Fil Type-C - Noir - Microphone HD - Suppression du bruit - Confort ergonomique
hero
1P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 55.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
23
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
23
≈ 2.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 81
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
XIA1732612209874
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 562 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
XIAOMI - Écouteurs Fil Type-C - Noir - Microphone HD - Suppression du bruit - Confort ergonomique · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -55.2% · on-hand 23 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (350 days of history, 560 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 29 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 183.5 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 34.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 17.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 91.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 562.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 45.6K |