Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · XIA1732612209874
XIAOMI - Écouteurs Fil Type-C - Noir - Microphone HD - Suppression du bruit - Confort ergonomique
hero
1P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
30
▼ 59.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)
Current stock
172
≈ 16.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 41
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
XIA1732612209874
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 460 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
XIAOMI - Écouteurs Fil Type-C - Noir - Microphone HD - Suppression du bruit - Confort ergonomique · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 30 units, trending down -59.5% · on-hand 172 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (231 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.62 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 30 units · prev 4w = 74 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 24.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 79.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 163.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 53.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 192.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 460.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.9K |