Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · WHI1685697523343
Pâtée pour chat - WHISKAS - Saumon et Thon - 4x85g - Repas en gelée - Adulte
longtail
3P
ALIMENTATION
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
140
Σ Stock across 5 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 33
avg of last 21 sells · latest 2026-04-20
WHI1685697523343
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 144 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pâtée pour chat - WHISKAS - Saumon et Thon - 4x85g - Repas en gelée - Adulte · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 140 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (399 days of history, 64 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.86 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 33.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 40.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 144.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.8K |