Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · WEI5056128125571
WeightWorld Vitamine D3 et K2 - 240 comprimés - 4000UI - Made in UK
longtail
3P
MEDICAMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-40.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
6
≈ 3.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 277
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-23
WEI5056128125571
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 109 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
WeightWorld Vitamine D3 et K2 - 240 comprimés - 4000UI - Made in UK · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -57.1% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (784 days of history, 184 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.98 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 31.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 108.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 30.1K |