Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · WEI5056128125175
Maca Noire Ginseng Fort Dosage 5000mg - Black Maca Root + Panax Ginseng + L Arginine + Zinc – 180 Gélules
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
5
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 264
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
WEI5056128125175
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 101 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Maca Noire Ginseng Fort Dosage 5000mg - Black Maca Root + Panax Ginseng + L Arginine + Zinc – 180 Gélules · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -57.1% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (980 days of history, 151 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 21 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 2 weeks → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 29.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 41.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 100.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 26.6K |