Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · VIT5021265246090
Vitabiotics - Perfectil Original Triple Action - 30 Comprimés
hero
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 63.2% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
1,443
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 130
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
VIT5021265246090
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 355 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Vitabiotics - Perfectil Original Triple Action - 30 Comprimés · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -63.2% · on-hand 1558 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (1239 days of history, 298 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.11 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 19 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 24.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 140.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 52.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 354.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 46.0K |