Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · VIT3700195660191
Magnésium Bisglycinate complexe magnésium & Vitamines B6 et D3 Sans gluten 60 gélules
longtail
3P
PARAPHARMACIE LIBRE-SERVICE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
145
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 195
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
VIT3700195660191
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Magnésium Bisglycinate complexe magnésium & Vitamines B6 et D3 Sans gluten 60 gélules · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -40.0% · on-hand 145 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (210 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.61 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 25.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 68.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.4K |