Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · VIL4023103147737
VILEDA Set Easywring clean balai + seau à essorage rotatif
longtail
3P
MATERIEL D'ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 42.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
41
≈ 55.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 387
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
VIL4023103147737
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
VILEDA Set Easywring clean balai + seau à essorage rotatif · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -42.9% · on-hand 41 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1106 days of history, 48 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.73 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 70.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 27.2K |