Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · VIC3337875695176
Crème Solaire Visage - Vichy - Capital Soleil - SPF50+ - 50ml - Matifiant 3 en 1
longtail
3P
SOLAIRES
Last 4 weeks demand
3
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (3 units)
Current stock
100
≈ 202.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 166
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
VIC3337875695176
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 42 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Crème Solaire Visage - Vichy - Capital Soleil - SPF50+ - 50ml - Matifiant 3 en 1 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, stable demand · on-hand 100 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1169 days of history, 34 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.47 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 13.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 2.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 11.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 41.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.9K |