Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · VIC3337871330262
Vichy Dercos Shampooing Traitant Anti-Pelliculaire DS 200ml
midtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 37.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-86.1%
vs same 4w last year (36 units)
Current stock
18
≈ 4.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 111
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
VIC3337871330262
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 135 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Vichy Dercos Shampooing Traitant Anti-Pelliculaire DS 200ml · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -37.5% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1162 days of history, 327 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.14 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 18.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 47.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 47.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 135.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.0K |