Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · URG3401044601296
Urgo Pieds Mains Coricide Pansements à l'Acide Salicylique 12 unités
longtail
3P
PARAPHARMACIE LIBRE-SERVICE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
289
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-06-30
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-06-30 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
URG3401044601296
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Urgo Pieds Mains Coricide Pansements à l'Acide Salicylique 12 unités · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, stable demand · on-hand 559 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1078 days of history, 35 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 52.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.8K |