Demand Forecast
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SKU · TEFK1220314
TEFAL FRESH KITCHEN Couteau chef - 15 cm - K1220314 + Etui
midtail
3P
DECOUPE DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 23.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+1200.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
10
≈ 3.3 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 64
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
TEFK1220314
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 122 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TEFAL FRESH KITCHEN Couteau chef - 15 cm - K1220314 + Etui · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -23.5% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (490 days of history, 167 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 17 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 40.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 121.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.8K |