Demand Forecast
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SKU · TEFK1220114
TEFAL FRESH KITCHEN Couteau santoku 12 cm orange K1220114 + étui
midtail
3P
DECOUPE DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▼ 17.4% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+1800.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
7
≈ 2.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 61
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
TEFK1220114
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 146 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TEFAL FRESH KITCHEN Couteau santoku 12 cm orange K1220114 + étui · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending down -17.4% · on-hand 7 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (490 days of history, 215 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 23 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 20.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 55.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 49.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 146.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.9K |