Demand Forecast

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Poudre libre - Technic - Banana Bright - 10g - Jaune - Ultra fine et soyeuse
SKU · TEC5021769810889

Poudre libre - Technic - Banana Bright - 10g - Jaune - Ultra fine et soyeuse

longtail 3P MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 36
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05

TEC5021769810889

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 105 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Poudre libre - Technic - Banana Bright - 10g - Jaune - Ultra fine et soyeuse · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (854 days of history, 87 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.34 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week6.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)29.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)105.1 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 3.8K