Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU900587
TAURUS - Sèche-cheveux Professionnel - 2 vitesses et 3 températures - 2200 W
midtail
1P + 3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 58.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
111
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
73
≈ 20.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 281
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
TAU900587
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 164 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
TAURUS - Sèche-cheveux Professionnel - 2 vitesses et 3 températures - 2200 W · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -58.3% · on-hand 73 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (392 days of history, 190 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 72.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 163.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 46.1K |