Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU900419
Pack Beauty Essentie TAURUS – Sèche-Cheveux + Lisseur – 1800 W
midtail
1P
COIFFURE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▼ 56.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+600.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 288
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
TAU900419
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 227 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack Beauty Essentie TAURUS – Sèche-Cheveux + Lisseur – 1800 W · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending down -56.2% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1113 days of history, 565 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.03 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 42.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 75.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 227.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 65.4K |