Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU8414234610010
Grille-pain TAURUS My Toast II - Blanc - 2 emplacements - 750W - Fonction dégivrage
longtail
3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▲ 45.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
23
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 176
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
TAU8414234610010
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 138 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Grille-pain TAURUS My Toast II - Blanc - 2 emplacements - 750W - Fonction dégivrage · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending up +45.5% · on-hand 24 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1183 days of history, 237 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.91 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 6.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 21.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 70.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 137.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 24.3K |