Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU8414234472663
Ventilateur colonne - Taurus - New Babel - 50W - 3 vitesses - Minuterie 2h
longtail
3P
TRAITEMENT DE L AIR
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 92.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
19
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 545
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
TAU8414234472663
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 245 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ventilateur colonne - Taurus - New Babel - 50W - 3 vitesses - Minuterie 2h · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -92.5% · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (742 days of history, 143 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.33 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 67 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 20.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 95.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 51.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 244.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 133.5K |