Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU8414234242549
Presse-agrumes - Taurus - Citrus Glass - 30W - Bol en verre 1L - Double sens de rotation
longtail
3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 55.6% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
18
≈ 12.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 186
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
TAU8414234242549
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 110 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Presse-agrumes - Taurus - Citrus Glass - 30W - Bol en verre 1L - Double sens de rotation · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -55.6% · on-hand 18 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1162 days of history, 104 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.15 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 9 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 31.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 32.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 109.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.4K |