Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU8414234242549
Presse-agrumes - Taurus - Citrus Glass - 30W - Bol en verre 1L - Double sens de rotation
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▲ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
85
Σ Stock across 6 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
50
≈ 30.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 181
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
TAU8414234242549
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 153 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Presse-agrumes - Taurus - Citrus Glass - 30W - Bol en verre 1L - Double sens de rotation · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending up +16.7% · on-hand 50 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1281 days of history, 149 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.07 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 57.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 152.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 27.7K |