Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU8414234189776
Fer à repasser Taurus Baltic 2200 de 2200W, jet de vapeur de 110g/min, capacité de 230ml, filtre anti-calcaire
longtail
3P
REPASSAGE - COUTURE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
98
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 186
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30
TAU8414234189776
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 158 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Fer à repasser Taurus Baltic 2200 de 2200W, jet de vapeur de 110g/min, capacité de 230ml, filtre anti-calcaire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 104 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1148 days of history, 42 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 17.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 72.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 158.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 29.4K |