Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU8414234186874
Fer à repasser vapeur 2400 W - Atlas 2400 - Taurus - Débit de vapeur 150 g/min - Système anti-tartre - Gris
longtail
3P
REPASSAGE - COUTURE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-81.8%
vs same 4w last year (22 units)
Current stock
5
≈ 1.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 234
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-30
TAU8414234186874
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 117 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Fer à repasser vapeur 2400 W - Atlas 2400 - Taurus - Débit de vapeur 150 g/min - Système anti-tartre - Gris · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 5 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (896 days of history, 54 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.50 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 24.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 27.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 117.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 27.4K |