Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU8414234022226
Tondeuse Taurus Mithos Avant 6W Marron
midtail
1P + 3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
33
▼ 37.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
288
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
139
≈ 45.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 91
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
TAU8414234022226
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 203 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tondeuse Taurus Mithos Avant 6W Marron · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 33 units, trending down -37.7% · on-hand 139 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1239 days of history, 224 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 33 units · prev 4w = 53 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 11.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 40.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 103.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 17.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 66.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 202.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.4K |