Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU8414234008244
ASPIRATEUR TAURUS EVOQUE SANS SAC 2000 W - 1.5 L
longtail
3P
ENTRETIEN DES SOLS - ENTRETIEN DE LA MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
5
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
4
≈ 5.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 584
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-17
TAU8414234008244
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 67 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ASPIRATEUR TAURUS EVOQUE SANS SAC 2000 W - 1.5 L · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (945 days of history, 23 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.12 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 25.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 22.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 66.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 39.1K |