Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU1684799352929
Friteuse à air - TAURUS - Air Fry Digital Grill - 1700 Watts - 12 Litres - Écran tactile numérique
midtail
1P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
25
▼ 62.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
194
≈ 41.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 853
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-08
TAU1684799352929
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 357 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Friteuse à air - TAURUS - Air Fry Digital Grill - 1700 Watts - 12 Litres - Écran tactile numérique · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 25 units, trending down -62.1% · on-hand 194 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (938 days of history, 628 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.46 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 25 units · prev 4w = 66 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 14.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 59.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 133.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 25.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 141.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 356.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 303.9K |