Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · TAU1684799352929
Friteuse à air - TAURUS - Air Fry Digital Grill - 1700 Watts - 12 Litres - Écran tactile numérique
midtail
3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 57.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
104
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
104
≈ 18.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 1.1K
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
TAU1684799352929
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 744 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Friteuse à air - TAURUS - Air Fry Digital Grill - 1700 Watts - 12 Litres - Écran tactile numérique · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -57.1% · on-hand 104 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1057 days of history, 826 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.46 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 7.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 226.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 18.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 15.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 66.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 743.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 781.8K |