Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · SUP3760075411275
Supra - Ventilateur Colonne BOREA + – 45W – Silencieux – 3 Vitesses – 3 Modes – Minuterie & Télécommande
longtail
3P
TRAITEMENT DE L AIR
Last 4 weeks demand
11
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
37
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 469
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
SUP3760075411275
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Supra - Ventilateur Colonne BOREA + – 45W – Silencieux – 3 Vitesses – 3 Modes – Minuterie & Télécommande · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 37 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (392 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 39.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 32.5K |