Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
![Lot de 10 pinceaux de maquillage professionnels - Pour poudre, crémeuse ou liquide -[S375]](https://cdnprd.marjanemall.ma/cn0picture0products0mm/SSS1697383293923_img1.jpg)
SKU · SSS1697383293923
Lot de 10 pinceaux de maquillage professionnels - Pour poudre, crémeuse ou liquide -[S375]
longtail
3P
MAQUILLAGE VISAGE - CORPS
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)
Current stock
1
≈ 0.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 36
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-27
SSS1697383293923
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 123 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 10 pinceaux de maquillage professionnels - Pour poudre, crémeuse ou liquide -[S375] · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 1 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (525 days of history, 15 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.49 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 5.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 24.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 122.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.4K |