Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · SON1688184167349
Casque Sans fil Bluetooth - SONY - WH-CH520W - 50 heures d'autonomie - Bleu
longtail
1P
CASQUE - MICROPHONE - DICTAPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 16.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+600.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
20
≈ 10.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 462
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
SON1688184167349
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 118 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque Sans fil Bluetooth - SONY - WH-CH520W - 50 heures d'autonomie - Bleu · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +16.7% · on-hand 20 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (497 days of history, 129 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.09 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 28.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 117.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 54.3K |