Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · SIL5601416492653
Cocotte autocuiseur 8 L SILAMPOS
longtail
3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
14
≈ 26.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 552
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-22
SIL5601416492653
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 103 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Cocotte autocuiseur 8 L SILAMPOS · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (644 days of history, 42 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.65 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 22.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 103.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 56.9K |