Demand Forecast

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Bioderma - Crème Apaisante - Sébium Hydra - 40ml - Peaux Très Sèches - Anti-Acné - Hydratante
SKU · SEB3401348840421

Bioderma - Crème Apaisante - Sébium Hydra - 40ml - Peaux Très Sèches - Anti-Acné - Hydratante

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 60.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-55.6%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)

Current stock

365
≈ 185.9 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 116
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

SEB3401348840421

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 74 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Bioderma - Crème Apaisante - Sébium Hydra - 40ml - Peaux Très Sèches - Anti-Acné - Hydratante · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -60.0% · on-hand 365 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (959 days of history, 171 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.87 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 10 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks9.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months28.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)25.3 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)73.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 8.6K