Demand Forecast

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Derma Roller Kit pour rouleau micro-aiguille cosmétique de visage et de corps pour le visage 540 Titane micro aiguilles 0.25mm 1PC
SKU · RUN9428061644604

Derma Roller Kit pour rouleau micro-aiguille cosmétique de visage et de corps pour le visage 540 Titane micro aiguilles 0.25mm 1PC

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)

Current stock

31
≈ 32.2 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 13
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-07

RUN9428061644604

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Derma Roller Kit pour rouleau micro-aiguille cosmétique de visage et de corps pour le visage 540 Titane micro aiguilles 0.25mm 1PC · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 31 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (756 days of history, 82 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.18 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 3 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.0 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months15.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)18.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)60.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 769