Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · ROWCF2119F0
ROWENTA CF2119F0 Fer à boucler 16 mm, Revêtement céramique, Embout isolant, Cordon rotatif, Boucles parfaites, Anneau de suspension
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-57.1%
vs same 4w last year (7 units)
Current stock
28
≈ 23.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 133
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-29
ROWCF2119F0
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 61 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ROWENTA CF2119F0 Fer à boucler 16 mm, Revêtement céramique, Embout isolant, Cordon rotatif, Boucles parfaites, Anneau de suspension · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 28 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (1148 days of history, 74 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.56 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 19.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 61.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 8.1K |