Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · PAR3664944438441
Rangement Vêtements "7 Compartiments" 36cm Noir - Paris Prix
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
44
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
44
≈ 748.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-11-03
Unit price
MAD 51
avg of last 6 sells · latest 2026-10-08
PAR3664944438441
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-26 · Total forecast: 103 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rangement Vêtements "7 Compartiments" 36cm Noir - Paris Prix · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 44 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (826 days of history, 6 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.35 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 3.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 35.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 103.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.3K |