Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · PAR3664944399223
Lot De 11 Rangements "sous-vêtements" 32cm Noir - Paris Prix
longtail
1P + 3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 40.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
47
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
38
≈ 167.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 47
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-10-10
PAR3664944399223
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 47 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot De 11 Rangements "sous-vêtements" 32cm Noir - Paris Prix · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +40.0% · on-hand 38 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (917 days of history, 17 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.77 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 1.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 5.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 46.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.2K |