Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · PAR3664944390510
Lot de 8 Languettes de Fixation 5 kg – 6 cm – Blanc
longtail
3P
DECORATION MURALE - TABLEAU - CADRE PHOTO - STICKER
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
71
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 22
avg of last 20 sells · latest 2026-07-14
PAR3664944390510
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 46 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 8 Languettes de Fixation 5 kg – 6 cm – Blanc · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (217 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.57 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 46.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.0K |