Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · PAR3664944321842
Lot de 10 Glaçons Réutilisables "Carrés" 2cm Multicolore
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE APERITIF - OENOLOGIE
Last 4 weeks demand
14
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
81
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
34
≈ 47.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-25
PAR3664944321842
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 83 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lot de 10 Glaçons Réutilisables "Carrés" 2cm Multicolore · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 34 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (630 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.02 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 42.7 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 83.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.3K |