Demand Forecast

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Déodorant – Old Spice Swagger – Parfum Cedarwood – Sans Aluminium – 85 g (3 oz)
SKU · OLD0012044037539

Déodorant – Old Spice Swagger – Parfum Cedarwood – Sans Aluminium – 85 g (3 oz)

midtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

28
▼ 31.7% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

188
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 40
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01

OLD0012044037539

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 168 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Déodorant – Old Spice Swagger – Parfum Cedarwood – Sans Aluminium – 85 g (3 oz) · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 28 units, trending down -31.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (357 days of history, 198 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 28 units · prev 4w = 41 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week6.6 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks27.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months87.2 units
Optimistic — next week11.0 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)49.1 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)167.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)4.3
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.7K