Demand Forecast

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Déodorant – Old Spice Swagger – Parfum Cedarwood – Sans Aluminium – 85 g (3 oz)
SKU · OLD0012044037539

Déodorant – Old Spice Swagger – Parfum Cedarwood – Sans Aluminium – 85 g (3 oz)

longtail 1P CORPS ET VISAGE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

19
▲ 35.7% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 43
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-21

OLD0012044037539

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 133 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Déodorant – Old Spice Swagger – Parfum Cedarwood – Sans Aluminium – 85 g (3 oz) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending up +35.7% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (301 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 14 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week4.3 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks15.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months40.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week11.7 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)46.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)132.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.8K