Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · NIV0000042195245
La crème universelle la plus rafraîchissante. NIVEA Soft est une crème idéale rapide pour les soins quotidiens du visage, des mains
longtail
3P
CORPS ET VISAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 25
avg of last 6 sells · latest 2024-02-06
NIV0000042195245
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-07-06 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
La crème universelle la plus rafraîchissante. NIVEA Soft est une crème idéale rapide pour les soins quotidiens du visage, des mains · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (70 days of history, 0 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.37 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |