Demand Forecast

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Casquette - New Era - Los Angeles Dodgers Essential 9 Forty - Noir - Ajustable - Visière incurvée
SKU · NEW0885430014106

Casquette - New Era - Los Angeles Dodgers Essential 9 Forty - Noir - Ajustable - Visière incurvée

longtail 1P ACCESSOIRE MODE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 68.8% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

14
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14

1P stock

14
≈ 28.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14

Unit price

MAD 200
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-10

NEW0885430014106

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 108 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Casquette - New Era - Los Angeles Dodgers Essential 9 Forty - Noir - Ajustable - Visière incurvée · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -68.8% · on-hand 14 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (924 days of history, 38 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.64 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 16 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks7.2 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months16.5 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		9.4 units
Optimistic — next week8.8 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)28.8 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)107.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 21.6K