Demand Forecast

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Casquette - NEW ERA - REPREVE LEAGUE ESS 9FORTY LOSDOD - Noir - 100% polyester - Taille unique
SKU · NEW0196821893317

Casquette - NEW ERA - REPREVE LEAGUE ESS 9FORTY LOSDOD - Noir - 100% polyester - Taille unique

midtail 1P ACCESSOIRE MODE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
▼ 90.6% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

132
≈ 22.5 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 169
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07

NEW0196821893317

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 300 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Casquette - NEW ERA - REPREVE LEAGUE ESS 9FORTY LOSDOD - Noir - 100% polyester - Taille unique · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -90.6% · on-hand 132 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.74 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 53 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week7.9 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks31.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months90.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week18.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)91.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)299.5 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)7.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 50.5K