Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · NEW0196821893317
Casquette - NEW ERA - REPREVE LEAGUE ESS 9FORTY LOSDOD - Noir - 100% polyester - Taille unique
hero
1P
ACCESSOIRE MODE
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▼ 83.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
3
≈ 0.4 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 174
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
NEW0196821893317
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 371 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casquette - NEW ERA - REPREVE LEAGUE ESS 9FORTY LOSDOD - Noir - 100% polyester - Taille unique · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending down -83.3% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (308 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.42 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 108 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 13.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 47.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 172.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 23.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 86.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 370.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 64.4K |