Demand Forecast

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Casquette - NEW ERA - Diamond era 9forty neyyan - Taille unique - Gris - Style urbain
SKU · NEW0194790986207

Casquette - NEW ERA - Diamond era 9forty neyyan - Taille unique - Gris - Style urbain

midtail 1P ACCESSOIRE MODE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

16
▼ 23.8% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

—
not enough history (need 56+ weeks)

Current stock

165
≈ 53.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 165
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04

NEW0194790986207

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 170 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Casquette - NEW ERA - Diamond era 9forty neyyan - Taille unique - Gris - Style urbain · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -23.8% · on-hand 165 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: midtail (252 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.43 — low
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 21 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week3.4 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks14.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months46.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week12.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)53.1 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)169.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)3.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 28.1K