Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · NEW0194790986207
Casquette - NEW ERA - Diamond era 9forty neyyan - Taille unique - Gris - Style urbain
midtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE MODE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 48.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
115
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
115
≈ 31.9 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 153
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
NEW0194790986207
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 186 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casquette - NEW ERA - Diamond era 9forty neyyan - Taille unique - Gris - Style urbain · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -48.4% · on-hand 118 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (308 days of history, — units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.62 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 31 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 83.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 37.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 185.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 28.4K |