Demand Forecast

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Crème pour Change - Mustela - 123 - 100 ml - Prévention des irritations - Réparation durable
SKU · MUS3504105024932

Crème pour Change - Mustela - 123 - 100 ml - Prévention des irritations - Réparation durable

longtail 3P HYGIENE BEBE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

5
new activity (no prior baseline)

Year-over-year

+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)

Current stock

671
≈ 645.8 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 80
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-18

MUS3504105024932

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Crème pour Change - Mustela - 123 - 100 ml - Prévention des irritations - Réparation durable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 671 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (1071 days of history, 63 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 0 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks4.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months15.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.4 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)21.6 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)65.9 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 5.3K