Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MUS0631656705737
platinum-100-creatine-400-g-muscletech
midtail
3P
NUTRITION SPORTIVE
Last 4 weeks demand
18
▼ 60.9% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (18 units)
Current stock
2
≈ 0.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 382
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
MUS0631656705737
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 270 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
platinum-100-creatine-400-g-muscletech · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 18 units, trending down -60.9% · on-hand 2 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (1162 days of history, 306 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.90 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 18 units · prev 4w = 46 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 7.5 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 31.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 83.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 18.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 89.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 270.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 103.3K |