Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP59911873-0003
Basket Adidas 125361 Noir 40
longtail
3P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
4
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 437
avg of last 6 sells · latest 2025-11-12
MP59911873-0003
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 95 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Basket Adidas 125361 Noir 40 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 4 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (735 days of history, 4 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.67 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 10.2 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 13.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 51.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 94.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 41.4K |