Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP55849625-0001
T-Shirt UNDER ARMOUR Abc Camo Boxed Logo SS Noir - Homme/Adulte
longtail
1P
TEXTILE TECHNIQUE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
8
≈ 13.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-11-03
Unit price
MAD 202
avg of last 5 sells · latest 2026-10-22
MP55849625-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-26 · Total forecast: 77 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
T-Shirt UNDER ARMOUR Abc Camo Boxed Logo SS Noir - Homme/Adulte · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (98 days of history, 9 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 0.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 77.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.6K |