Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP55804492-0005
Claquette Unisex Adidas Adilette Shower GZ5922 - Synthétique - Noir
longtail
1P
PISCINE - PLONGEE - CHASSE SOUS-MARINE
Last 4 weeks demand
7
▲ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
3
≈ 10.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-14
Unit price
MAD 194
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-03
MP55804492-0005
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 131 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Claquette Unisex Adidas Adilette Shower GZ5922 - Synthétique - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 7 units, trending up +75.0% · on-hand 3 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (980 days of history, 36 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.58 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 7 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 6.7 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 9.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 131.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.5K |