Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · MP55804492-0005
Claquette Unisex Adidas Adilette Shower GZ5922 - Synthétique - Noir
longtail
1P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
15
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
15
≈ 66.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 200
avg of last 26 sells · latest 2026-07-28
MP55804492-0005
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 69 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Claquette Unisex Adidas Adilette Shower GZ5922 - Synthétique - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -62.5% · on-hand 15 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (917 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.54 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 34.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 69.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.9K |